Commodity Market in India
Commodity Market in India
A commodity futures market is a public market where
commodities are contracted for purchase or sale at an agreed price for delivery
on a specified date. This process of purchase or sale of commodities must be
made through an organized exchange broker and the purchase should be made under
the terms and conditions of a standardized futures contract (Choudhry 2004).
Commodity, besides being a unique hedging instrument, also provides for
efficient portfolio management arising from diversification benefits. These
benefits result in improved returns to domestic as well as international
investors. The commodity futures market furnishes commercial commodity
producers and consumers with a way to express price risk to speculators who
have no direct commercial concern in the commodities themselves (Silber, 1985).
Producers‘hedge price risk by assuming short perspectives in
futures contracts on the commodity that they produce. A similar hedge demands
consumers to take long positions in the futures contracts on their consumption
commodities (Jecheche, 2012). Arbitrageurs and speculators prefer to take
either long or short positions on a commodity futures contract founded on the
market perception (Kuprianov, 1986). There is no long only market function of
commodity futures contracts that investors should use as a default inactive
system. Furthermore, commodity future prices tend to exhibit momentum as per the
economic theory and empirical evidence. Therefore, when a commodity future
price presents an upward movement, it constructs sense to take a long position
(Long et al., 1990).
A commodity exchange is defined as a market in which multiple
buyers and sellers trade commodity associated contracts on the foundation of
rules and procedures established by the commodity exchange. Commodity exchanges
extend spot trade for contiguous delivery and forward a contract which involves
delivery in future markets. This type of exchanges is different from wholesale
market where trade is decentralized. The roles of commodity exchanges are
security, market information access, positions on exchange and local market
operations.
Exchanges can focus on the trade in futures and options
contracts, as do most of the exchanges in western countries. Its primarily
function is to act as the centers for facilitating physical trade. In both
cases, exchanges depict their primary strength from their capacity to act as a
focal point for trade transactions, and to increase the security of these
transactions. Commodity exchanges help in the price discovery process as they
are well-organized exchanges form natural reference points for physical trade.
By managing to link different warehouses in the country, a commodity exchange
allows trade to take place more efficiently.
The price information exhibited with exchange allowed for a
good reference point to evaluate the spot prices and negotiate with traders/agents.
In summary, it developed cognizance among the farmers to track the market and
form an outlook on prices based on the accessible information. The price
discovery process furnished them an idea about price movements. The price
movement signals served them in planning their spot operations efficaciously.
Commodity exchange will act as a catalyst for bringing the new to the old world
by helping to make growth comprehensive. Invariably, small farmers can become
part of the national and global marketplace for inputs, credit and outputs.
Growth of Commodity Futures Trading Volume in India:
From Table 2.7.1, it could be realized that the commodity
futures markets in India have gained a significant growth over the years. The
most prominent commodity exchange in India is the Multi Commodity Exchange of
India (MCX), which found a steady increase from Rs.0.63 million to Rs.14.88
million during the period 2005-2012. There are market fluctuations in the
volume of trading in other exchanges in India. The National Commodity and
Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) has experienced a double fold increase
from Rs.0.88 million to Rs.1.59 million during the period 2005-2012. The
National Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd (NMCE) has witnessed a growth
from Rs.12 crores to Rs. 176 crores during the period 2005-2012. There has been
an optimal growth in the others exchanges during the study period.
Why Crude Oil Commodity is Preferable:
Crude oil describes for 35 percent of the world's primary
energy consumption. Crude oil is a complex mixture of various hydrocarbons
found in the upper layers of the earth's crust, which is often attributed as
the ―Mother of all Commodities‖ because of its importance in the manufacturing
of a wide variety of materials. Global proven oil reserves in 2011 were around
1652.6 thousand million barrels in which the OPEC had 1196.3 thousand million
barrels. Global oil demand was found to be at 88.3 million barrels per day
(mmb/d) in 2011, an increase of around 0.7% from the previous year (2010).
Crude oil production during the period April-March 2012 was 38.19 million metric
tonnes (MMT), as equated with 37.71 MMT during the representative period last year.
The total oil consumption in 2010 was approximately 3.34mmb/d. India is the 4th
largest consumer of oil and imports more than 70% of its crude oil requirement.
Why Gold Commodity is Trending:
Gold, being the oldest precious metal known to man, is
primarily a monetary asset and partly a commodity and the world's oldest
international currency. An important element of global monetary reserves, with
regard to the investment value, more than two-thirds of total accumulated
holdings, the world investment in gold has amounted to 1614 MT in 2012, broadly
flat year-on-year, but the approximate value of this demand reached a new
record of almost $87 billion. The gold mine production increased from 12 MT to
2848 MT in 2012 and the combined demand for bars & coins dropped from 1515 MT
to 1256 MT. India is the world‘s largest market for gold jewellery and a key
driver of the global gold demand. The rural parts demand two thirds of the
Indian demand for gold.
Why we can’t neglect Silver Commodity:
A brilliant grey-white metal that is soft and malleable is
Silver, which has unique properties including its strength, malleability,
ductility, electrical and thermal conductivity, sensitivity, high reflectance
of light, and reactivity. Lead ore is the main source of silver, though it can
also be found associated with copper, zinc and gold and produced as a
by-product of base metal mining activities. The worldwide silver fabrication
demand was 876.6 million ounces (Moz) in 2011 - down by 1.5% from the value in
2010, but still reaching its second highest level since 2000. Globally, in
2011, the physical silver bar investment grew by 67% to 95.7 Moz, while
fabrication of coins and medals rose by almost 19% to an all-time high of 118.2
Moz. Silver is preponderantly traded on the London Bullion Market Association
(LBMA) and COMEX in New York. LBMA is the metal‘s main physical market that the
global hub of over-the counter trading in silver. About 2500 Metric tons (MT)
per year is the average annual demand for silver in India. The country‘s
production was around 342.13 MT in 2011.
So, if you are starting your trading now in commodity market in India then you can once consult us for which will be the best commodity for
you to trade or how you can maximize your profit in commodity market. Call or
whatsapp us at: +91-8003400999
Astro-Raj
Commodity Market Predictor
Jaipur (Raj.) +91-8003400999
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